PUBLICATIONS
Scam Logistics: Building and Governing the Digital Illicit Economy in the China–Myanmar Borderlands
Online scam compounds are often described as a cybercrime problem, but this is only partly true. Victims encounter scams online, yet the industry is built offline. It depends on territorial control, armed protection, labour recruitment, telecom access, supply chains, transport routes, financial channels and legal ambiguity. This research shows that scam compounds in the China–Myanmar borderlands are not isolated criminal hideouts but nodes in a wider corridor through which people, goods, money, data and coercion circulate. Armed groups, militias, brokers, traders and state-linked actors regulate movement, provide protection, extract rents and shape enforcement outcomes. Far from being marginal, scam centres reveal how illicit borderland economies are embedded in broader processes of accumulation, governance and uneven development.
Xu Peng (Manchester / SOAS CIVAD )
July 2026
Russian War-Related Illicit Trade in the Black Sea: International Networks and Policy Options
The war in Ukraine is fought not only on the battlefield but also through vast illicit trade networks that continue to generate revenue, evade sanctions and sustain Russia's military capabilities. This research uncovers the commercial, financial and maritime networks enabling these activities and explores how governments and businesses can better disrupt them.
Olivia Allison
Joshua Coyle
July 2026
When organised crime becomes an atrocity crime: Adopting a transitional justice framework
This paper argues that when organised crime crosses into atrocity crimes or contributes to its commission, transitional justice can complement traditional law enforcement. Drawing on international examples, it highlights victim-centred approaches, truth-telling, reparations, and pattern-based investigations, while acknowledging challenges such as political resistance, overlapping mandates, and balancing justice with counter-organised crime efforts.
Huma Haider (Ind.)
July 2026
How Russia’s Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine Displaced Drug Trafficking Routes in Europe and Central Asia
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has significantly reconfigured organised crime across Ukraine and neighbouring regions. Rather than simply disrupting illicit networks, the war and resulting sanctions have displaced and reshaped them. The most visible changes have occurred in the drugs market. Synthetic drug production has increasingly relocated to Kazakhstan, while trafficking routes for heroin and cocaine have shifted towards Belarus, Central Asia and the Balkans.
Dr Alexander Kupatadze (Kings College London)
Erica Marat (NDU)
April 2026
Criminal Geographies: How the Russo-Ukrainian War Reshaped Global Crime Networks
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reconfigured organised crime, displacing and transforming networks across regions. Crime has grown in both neighbouring states and Russia itself, with new actors, routes and cyber‑enabled methods emerging. War and sanctions act as systemic shocks, expanding illicit markets rather than suppressing them and demanding multi‑level policy responses.
Dr Alexander Kupatadze (Kings College London)
Erica Marat (NDU)
March 2026